SMU has lost its last two football games, but those losses to Maryland and TCU don't look quite as bad after seeing how strong the Terrapins and Horned Frogs have been this season. The Mustangs look to get back in the win column on Wednesday against UCF in a game that has already been rescheduled multiple times due to concerns over Hurricane Ian. The Knights have won each of their last two games, but those victories have come against an FAU team that has fallen off a cliff and a Georgia Tech program that fired its head coach this season.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Knights are 3-point home favorites in the latest SMU vs. UCF odds listed on Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set for 64.5 points. Before making any UCF vs. SMU picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UCF vs. SMU. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for SMU vs. UCF:
- UCF vs. SMU spread: UCF -3
- UCF vs. SMU over/under: 64.5 points
- UCF vs. SMU picks: See picks here
What you need to know about UCF
Even though Sonny Dykes is no longer the head coach at SMU, the Mustangs continue to have one of the most prolific passing offenses in college football, averaging 353 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the Knights have been one of the more dominant pass defenses and have held opponents to just 169.8 yards per contest. The Mustangs could also find themselves in trouble against UCF's rushing attack, which averages 275.5 yards per game.
SMU ranks outside of the top 100 programs in the nation at stopping the run, and has allowed 180.5 yards per game. UCF quarterback John Rhys Plumlee is also the team's leading rusher with 404 yards and four touchdowns this season. Plumlee is joined in the backfield by running backs Isaiah Bowser and Johnny Richardson, who have a combined 446 rushing yards on the season.
What you need to know about SMU
Meanwhile, the Mustangs came up short against the TCU Horned Frogs two weeks ago in a 42-34 final. SMU's defeat shouldn't overshadow the performances of running back Tre Siggers, who punched in three rushing touchdowns, and receiver Jake Bailey, who caught eight passes for one TD and 163 yards.
This is a contrast of offensive styles as UCF ranks third nationally in rushing yardage with 274.5 per game. SMU, meanwhile, has the fifth-most passing yards per game in the nation with an average of 353.
How to make UCF vs. SMU picks
The model has simulated UCF vs. SMU 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who will win SMU vs. UCF? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks.
